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Macro update

Sold Out

The Sunday macro update on why AI suppliers say they're sold out while chip stocks fell into a bear market, the financing worries behind the selloff, a hotter week for inflation, and what American Express, Deckers and Tractor Supply say about the K-shaped consumer.

October 25, 2026 · 13 min read

Macro update

Rotation

The Sunday macro update on the rotation out of AI and tech into defensive sectors and energy, why the market priced fewer future Fed hikes in a hot inflation week, Warsh at the IMF, TSMC earnings, and what retail sales and producer prices say about the consumer.

October 18, 2026 · 12 min read

Mid-week update

Sooner, not higher

Hot CPI moved expected Fed hikes forward, not higher. Brian examines inflation, AI spending and why tighter policy may hit the wrong half of the economy.

October 14, 2026 · 11 min read

Macro update

Crowded out

AI infrastructure and government borrowing compete for capital, while households and rate-sensitive businesses face the cost. Brian examines Treasury buybacks and the widening consumer divide.

October 11, 2026 · 14 min read

Macro update

Patience

A patient Fed, rising long-term yields and widening credit spreads: who pays the price when the bond market does the tightening?

October 4, 2026 · 20 min read

Macro update

What rising yields do to stocks

How rising Treasury yields affect stock valuations, AI funding costs and sector rotation—and what Brian is watching in SPY, QQQ and credit.

August 2, 2026 · 9 min read